{"id":12836,"date":"2017-08-10T10:41:54","date_gmt":"2017-08-10T03:41:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thitruongsi.com\/kinh-nghiem\/?p=12836"},"modified":"2017-08-10T10:41:54","modified_gmt":"2017-08-10T03:41:54","slug":"mat-trai-khi-viet-nam-tro-thanh-con-ho-chau","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thitruongsi.com\/kinh-nghiem\/mat-trai-khi-viet-nam-tro-thanh-con-ho-chau\/","title":{"rendered":"M\u1eb7t tr\u00e1i khi Vi\u1ec7t Nam tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh &#8216;con h\u1ed5 ch\u00e2u \u00c1&#8217;"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3 class=\"short_intro txt_666\">Bloomberg cho r\u1eb1ng, Vi\u1ec7t Nam s\u1ebd s\u1edbm nh\u1eadn ra \u0111i\u1ec1u g\u00ec ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i khi tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f3 t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ea7u ch\u00e2u \u00c1.<\/h3>\n<div class=\"fck_detail width_common block_ads_connect\">\n<p class=\"Normal\">V\u1edbi t\u1ed5ng s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m qu\u1ed1c n\u1ed9i (GDP) t\u0103ng g\u1ea5p 2 l\u1ea7n trong 8 n\u0103m, Vi\u1ec7t Nam tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f3 t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ea7u th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi v\u00e0 khu v\u1ef1c. Tuy v\u1eady, m\u1ed9t h\u1ec7 qu\u1ea3 cho s\u1ef1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng n\u00e0y l\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n \u0111\u1ee7 \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ec3 nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eefng kho\u1ea3n vay \u01b0u \u0111\u00e3i t\u1eeb c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Normal\">T\u1eeb cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 6 n\u0103m nay, Vi\u1ec7t Nam kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c kho\u1ea3n vay v\u1ed1n \u01b0u \u0111\u00e3i t\u1eeb Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u1ebfp v\u00e0o nh\u00f3m \u0111\u1ed1i t\u01b0\u1ee3ng vay v\u1ed1n h\u1ed7n h\u1ee3p t\u1eeb Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n ch\u00e2u \u00c1 (ADB) &#8211; m\u1ed9t b\u01b0\u1edbc r\u00fat kh\u1ecfi nh\u00f3m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c vay v\u1ed1n v\u1edbi l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t r\u1ebb.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Normal\">Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh ngu\u1ed3n v\u1ed1n n\u00e0y b\u1ecb c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m, Vi\u1ec7t Nam s\u1ebd c\u1ea7n t\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng ngu\u1ed3n cung trong nh\u00f3m th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i &#8211; v\u1ed1n l\u00e0 m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn nh\u1eefng nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 trong th\u1eddi gian g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Normal\">&#8220;\u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng ch\u1ee9ng minh s\u1ef1 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng trong ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam &#8211; tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f3 thu nh\u1eadp trung b\u00ecnh&#8221;, Sebastian Eckardt, nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a World Bank tr\u1ea3 l\u1eddi trong cu\u1ed9c ph\u1ecfng v\u1ea5n c\u1ee7a <em>Bloomberg<\/em>. &#8220;Nhu c\u1ea7u t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111ang t\u0103ng l\u00ean nhanh ch\u00f3ng, v\u00e0 c\u00e1c ngu\u1ed3n ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ee7 \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng nhu c\u1ea7u ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n, do v\u1eady th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1ed1n s\u1ebd l\u00e0 n\u01a1i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi&#8221;, Eckardt nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Normal\">\u00d4ng Tr\u01b0\u01a1ng H\u00f9ng Long, C\u1ee5c tr\u01b0\u1edfng Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd n\u1ee3 v\u00e0 T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a B\u1ed9 T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh cho bi\u1ebft, hi\u1ec7n Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111ang l\u00ean k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng vay n\u1ee3 trong n\u01b0\u1edbc. \u00d4ng c\u0169ng cho bi\u1ebft th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng nhu c\u1ea7u t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh \u1edf th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, tuy nhi\u00ean trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai s\u1ebd c\u1ea7n c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf tham gia c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh th\u00eam n\u1ee3 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Normal\">Kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3 quy m\u00f4 200 t\u1ef7 USD v\u1edbi t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng tr\u00ean 6%. Theo d\u1eef li\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a <em>Bloomberg<\/em>, hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3 kho\u1ea3ng 70% trong 13,2 t\u1ef7 USD tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh trong n\u01b0\u1edbc, s\u1ed1 c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh b\u1eb1ng \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4la. L\u1ea7n ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 11\/2014, khi b\u00e1n 1 t\u1ef7 USD\u00a0tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu c\u00f3 th\u1eddi h\u1ea1n 10 n\u0103m v\u1edbi l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t 4,8%.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Normal\">\u201cVi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i d\u1ef1a nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai so v\u1edbi tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y\u201d, \u00f4ng Mark Baker, Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i Standard Life Investments cho bi\u1ebft.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Normal\">Ba h\u00e3ng \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 t\u00edn nhi\u1ec7m l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111ang x\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng n\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u1edf m\u1ee9c \u201cjunk\u201d &#8211; kh\u00f4ng khuy\u1ebfn ngh\u1ecb \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0. M\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 n\u00e0y khi\u1ebfn tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i t\u1ee9c cao h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 kh\u00e1c nh\u01b0 Indonesia v\u00e0 Philippines &#8211; nh\u1eefng qu\u1ed1c gia m\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u00e2ng h\u1ea1ng trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Normal\">Theo s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a B\u1ed9 T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh, \u0111\u1ebfn n\u0103m 2020, Vi\u1ec7t Nam s\u1ebd nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ed5ng c\u1ed9ng 45 t\u1ef7 USD v\u1ed1n h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n, ngu\u1ed3n v\u1ed1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ea5p t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2005.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Normal\">Tr\u01b0\u1edbc n\u0103m 2010, th\u1eddi h\u1ea1n tr\u1ea3 n\u1ee3 trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n vay t\u1eeb 30 \u0111\u1ebfn 40 n\u0103m, v\u1edbi l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t 0,7 &#8211; 0,8% m\u1ed7i n\u0103m. Khi GDP c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam t\u0103ng l\u00ean, c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u kho\u1ea3n tr\u1edf n\u00ean ng\u1eb7t ngh\u00e8o h\u01a1n, t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2011-2015, l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n vay t\u0103ng l\u00ean 2%, v\u00e0 th\u1eddi h\u1ea1n tr\u1ea3 n\u1ee3 r\u00fat ng\u1eafn c\u00f2n t\u1eeb 10-20 n\u0103m.<\/p>\n<p>\u0110\u1ebfn khi c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n \u01b0u \u0111\u00e3i kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n, l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n vay b\u1ecb \u0111\u1ea9y l\u00ean 3,5% m\u1ed7i n\u0103m, v\u00e0 th\u1eddi h\u1ea1n thanh to\u00e1n b\u1ecb r\u00fat ng\u1eafn m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Normal\">\u00d4ng Andy Ho, Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh c\u1ee7a VinaCapital cho r\u1eb1ng, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c tham gia nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1ed1n, Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 xem x\u00e9t b\u00e1n t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n v\u00e0 c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch thu\u1ebf.\u00a0\u201cVi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 vay t\u1eeb th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf, nh\u01b0ng n\u1ebfu h\u1ecd vay qu\u00e1 nhi\u1ec1u th\u00ec \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd tr\u1edf n\u00ean r\u1ea5t nguy hi\u1ec3m&#8221;, \u00f4ng Andy H\u1ed3 nh\u1eadn x\u00e9t.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Normal\" style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>Minh S\u01a1n<\/strong> (<em>theo Bloomberg<\/em>)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bloomberg cho r\u1eb1ng, Vi\u1ec7t Nam s\u1ebd s\u1edbm nh\u1eadn ra \u0111i\u1ec1u g\u00ec ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i khi tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f3 t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ea7u ch\u00e2u \u00c1. V\u1edbi t\u1ed5ng s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m qu\u1ed1c n\u1ed9i (GDP) t\u0103ng g\u1ea5p 2 l\u1ea7n trong 8 n\u0103m, Vi\u1ec7t Nam tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f3 t\u1ed1c  &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":12837,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[46,50,52],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12836","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ban-le","category-kinh-doanh","category-thi-truong-ban-le"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>M\u1eb7t tr\u00e1i khi Vi\u1ec7t Nam tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh &#039;con h\u1ed5 ch\u00e2u \u00c1&#039; - Th\u1ecb Tr\u01b0\u1eddng S\u1ec9 Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/thitruongsi.com\/kinh-nghiem\/mat-trai-khi-viet-nam-tro-thanh-con-ho-chau\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"vi_VN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"M\u1eb7t tr\u00e1i khi Vi\u1ec7t Nam tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh &#039;con h\u1ed5 ch\u00e2u \u00c1&#039; - Th\u1ecb Tr\u01b0\u1eddng S\u1ec9 Blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bloomberg cho r\u1eb1ng, Vi\u1ec7t Nam s\u1ebd s\u1edbm nh\u1eadn ra \u0111i\u1ec1u g\u00ec ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i khi tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f3 t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ea7u ch\u00e2u \u00c1. 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